Eating Ramen With The Flu
Mubarak, the devil we know rec
lowing realize the true problem underlying
riots occurred in Egypt in the last week . On the one hand, for the first time in recent Middle Eastern history, there was a desp
liege of Egyptian troops in Sinai Peninsula, which is forbidden by the 1979 peace agreement with Israel . The reason: to prevent seepage and movement of arms and militants across the Gaza-Egypt stretch. This maneuver adds the silence, only broken by the Israeli authorities regarding Hosni Mubarak's refusal to leave power.
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media and Western public opinion posed by events in Egypt in terms eminently Western: faced with a harsh dictatorship of more than three decades, the Egyptians want change and greater freedoms and economic progress. However, since the fifties has shown the difficulty of applying Western remedies to problems that do not compete with the West, as clearly Obama hinted in June 2009
in his speech reminded Cairo
For Egypt is faced with two variables that are much more complex than democracy and authoritarianism. The door that really opens the Mubarak government's crisis is that
and Netanyahu himself raised a couple of days : the possibility that the secular Egyptian government of Mubarak pass a theocratic regime, similar in nature to Iran's hand in hand with the major opposition organization in the country: the Muslim Brotherhood, outlawed but still active.
is easy to guess the c
ONSEQUENCES a political move of this nature in the international system, namely the stability of the region, where the siege of Israel would not only from the east, with Iran, and from the north with Syria, but now from the west, with Egypt very different from that with which
made peace in 1979 and has managed to keep without major alterations, to this day. A dye theocratic government, with no disposable alliances with neighbors of Hamas in Gaza, would, in effect, a deterioration in diplomatic relations both countries.
turn, surrounded by new threats, and a governing coalition increasingly tilted to the right, can not rule out the implementation by Israel of a foreign policy much more offensive, not only in diplomatic terms, but including military and strategic.
Hence, for Israel, and in general for other states seeking regional stability, much better a "well known" as the current-and near-deposed president of Egypt, that uncertainty and the "river speedball where they can "catch" (to paraphrase the saying) the more fundamentalist Islamic factions and radical in the area.
lowing realize the true problem underlying riots occurred in Egypt in the last week . On the one hand, for the first time in recent Middle Eastern history, there was a desp liege of Egyptian troops in Sinai Peninsula, which is forbidden by the 1979 peace agreement with Israel . The reason: to prevent seepage and movement of arms and militants across the Gaza-Egypt stretch. This maneuver adds the silence, only broken by the Israeli authorities regarding Hosni Mubarak's refusal to leave power. 
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